Predictive policing is a trend that uses technology to predict hot crime spots and send police to the area before a crime is committed. By using data mining and crime mapping, police are deployed to areas based on statistical probability and geospatial predictions. This technology is based on the same technology used by businesses to predict sales trends and customer behavior patterns. Now, police departments can use the same technology to predict crime patterns and work to reduce crime in their area.
Predictive policing is putting officers where crimes are more likely to occur. "…it generates projections about which areas and windows of time are at highest risk for future crimes by analyzing and detecting patterns in years of past crime data." (Goode) The data mining generates projections using past crime data to analyze which areas and the time of the day, week, or month, etc. that crime is likely to be committed. The projections are recalibrated daily as new crimes are committed and updated information is added to the data base. It provides information to make decisions in coming up with solutions to better fight crime before it takes place.
The technology program uses mathematical algorithm to predict when and where certain crimes will be committed and puts police at the scene before it happens. It has correctly predicted 40% of the crimes it was designed to monitor. (Shurkin, 2011) If it is proved to be reliable, it could help to utilize resources more efficiently, thus reducing crime with less cost. In a weak economy, predictive policing could help police departments operate more efficiently on reduced budgets. And, it provides for more sound management decisions to cover all areas of the city instead of just the hot spots.
By using the predictive policing technique, police departments are better able to put officers in the areas that are vulnerable to crime, utilizing department manpower. It is more effective than just having the officers randomly patrol the streets. Randomly patrolling the streets, the officers may be in an area of crime or may be in other areas while the crimes are being committed making it hard for officers to keep track of criminal behaviors....
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